Caleb: Hey, guy. Caleb: Wanna see something really great? me: sup Twitter buddy Caleb: http://web.gbtv.com/media/video.jsp?content_id=20029639 Caleb: The whacky morning zoo crew riff on right-wing chain e-mail zaniness. me: this better be good Caleb: It's a fine re-introduction to Glen Beck if you haven't seen his schtick in a while. Caleb: I had sorta forgotten. me: that's okay me: I'd RATHER forget! me: speaking of which me: Remember Rathergate? me: better yet me: better yet me: I want to tell you something me: I want you to think about it me: ready? me: tell me when you're ready Caleb: I WAS BORN READY me: Purple Band-Aids. Caleb: FLIP FLOP Caleb: FLIP FLOP Caleb: FLIP FLOP Caleb: FLIP Caleb: FLOP Caleb: FLIP me: they brought their own flip flops Caleb: FLIP Caleb: i mean Caleb: FLOP me: they can use them again if Romney gets nomination me: speaking of which me: who's gonna win this thing? me: you got any predictions? Caleb: Man, it's so fucked up right now. Caleb: It'd be pretty damned hard to predict who's gonna go the distance. Caleb: I'd imagine Gingrich has the best shot at Iowa. me: who won Iowa in 2004? Caleb: Romney so far has been secure in New Hampshire. Caleb: Democrat? me: 2008, I mean Caleb: Huckabee. me: okay then Caleb: Iowa's super heavy on social conservatives. Caleb: It's not the bellwether everyone makes it out to be. Caleb: But whoever wins it will likely last a few more rounds against whoever wins New Hampshire. Caleb: And whoever wins New Hampshire will likely end up with the nod. me: did Guiliani win anything in 2008? Caleb: I don't think so. Caleb: He disengaged Iowa and New Hampshire and put all his eggs in Florida. Caleb: And got his ass kicked. Caleb: Because it was down to Huckabee and McCain at that point. me: well, in his defense, that was a good strategy for him Caleb: Lots of folks have pointed out this week that at this point in 2004, the Bush camp was all but certain they'd face Dean in the general. me: yeah, Rove was hoping for it Caleb: I read a _Times_ article from early December 2004 today. Caleb: Didn't even mention Kerry. Caleb: He ended up winning Iowa. Caleb: Then New Hampshire. Caleb: Then all the rest. Caleb: So lots can happen between now and the Iowa caucus. Caleb: Especially given Gingrich's ability to say ridiculous shit. Caleb: And the polling data that universally indicates a frustrated, non-committal GOP base. me: I'm gonna have to back Gingrich on this one me: due to his having used the Foundation Trilogy as his plan me: and also his intent to build Lunar mines me: and Mitt Romney trying to poke fun at that Caleb: He's also the only one who takes seriously our nation's alarming _Goldeneye_ gap. Caleb: I went to Shamrock last weekend. Caleb: Generally I use my grandparents to gauge the general pulse of your street-level GOP voter. Caleb: All they seem to know is that Obama is a muslim and Romney's first name is Dick. me: http://www.memphisflyer.com/binary/01c6/1313434757-romney-fudge.jpg